Next, we’ll have guys marrying dead horses….

Lot of caterwauling out there on the conservative side like gay marriage is the end of the world, and particularly, because it would bode the end of judicial restraint or textualism.  Meh.  The ruling is harmonious with a certain logic that says, government doesn’t manage the marriage business.  But if we’re to notarize marriages, we’re going to notarize them for any two people that ask…  Other thing – the slippery slope leads to polygamy, I guess.  And marrying your horse.  I doubt it.  Such that legalized gay marriage is a bit a function of public acceptance, I really pity the justice that writes an opinion that legalizes polygamy and horse marriage.  The public’s enforcement of the normative is a powerful thing.  Horse marriage is not going to be accepted.

The important question: what do the gun people think….  I don’t get much sense they are very aggravated.  I think I’ve said before, the Venn overlap between the fundies and the gun people isn’t very big, with the gunny people not being much ever inconsistent on their innate libertarianism.  There is an immediate observation out there by the gunnies that if gay marriage is to be recognized interstate, then carry permits are going to have to be also.  Could be…

Jots w/ dots 6/29

This is true, individualism vs collectivism is the crux of the biscuit:  http://theweek.com/articles/562715/what-liberals-always-miss-about-gun-rights  And I think it’s right and proper to be selfish in retaining the individual right and in doing so allowing for some oblique and rare violence externalities.

Overly dour:  http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2015/06/north-dakota-oil-boom-bust/396620/  You see these gleeful articles reporting on the inevitable maturation of the Bakken…   There’s an ulterior implication there, as if the whole business is supposed to be thus invalidated because its slowing down and there’s a bit of dislocation.  Ba-loney.  They have a guarantee of basically vibrant commerce up there for a long time.

Hey ya know where I got an offer recently?  Rhymes with NinnCure  http://www.startribune.com/minnesota-hospitals-praise-aca-ruling-unitedhealth-stock-rises/309835401/  I didn’t take that offer, but hadn’t contemplated that the future of the project might be in question.  And I doubt it is.  It’s a perverse staple of a Minnesota exceptionalism that would make state government here want to plow ahead with its own exchange.  But that’s what will happen.

World Champion Twins…. http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2015/06/29/phillies-to-announce-the-hiring-of-andy-macphail-at-230-today/  You go to McPhail’s Wikipedia page, and it’s says “graduated with a degree in American Studies from Dickinson College in Carlisle, PA, where he was a member of the Kappa Sigma fraternity and a somewhat decent player on an otherwise undistinguished Division III baseball team”  So he was about as good as the typical competitive player that makes up the local amateur leagues.  Better than me, but not astoundingly so.  I like that.

I meant to get to this, but may not.  http://www.slate.com/articles/business/the_bills/2015/06/new_york_times_op_ed_on_why_the_poor_won_t_rise_up_give_credit_to_our_culture.html

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2 thoughts on “Next, we’ll have guys marrying dead horses….

  1. pm1956

    Debating the gay marriage thing is rapidly becoming the equivalent of beating a dead horse…. it is over and will rapidly disappear as a point of contention (except in old folks homes and fundamentalist churches).

    You are right about the Bakken. It isn’t booming like it was, but that hardly makes it a bust. Some folks will be heading back south, but then they would have been anyway. Point is that part of the state is still basically empty. ND is an acquired taste.

    I liked that gun rights article, and it made a good point. i would disagree with you that the violence and deaths that are the result are hardly trivial. thing is, most of those deaths are pretty focused on those with the guns, their friends and families, so that is some mitigation…. (sorry for the snark, but I think that it is true for the accidental deaths, the suicides, and the fact that most murders are committed by someone known to the victim).

    I always liked MacPhail, and wish him well. I’m not certain that he was all that good at what he did, but with the Phillies, he certainly has nowhere to go but up!

    Reply
  2. pm1956

    Here is an interesting piece. If true, maybe gun rights will wither over the long run….

    The Age Of Restraint
    Simon Kuper | Financial Times | 27th June 2015 |
    Recommended on 29th June 2015

    Never in history has the rich world been so law-abiding. Even today’s teenagers are relatively well-behaved. “The decline in disorder is so broad and multinational that very specific ideas – such as zero-tolerance policing in New York – cannot explain it”. The crime rate in Sao Paulo has fallen 80% in ten years. Something seems to have changed in human nature. We demand safety above everything else — including freedom
    (702 words)
    THE HOMICIDE MONITOR launched by Brazil’s Igarapé Institute contains a familiar happy story: the decline of murder in the developed world. In 18 European countries, fewer than one person in 100,000 was murdered in 2012, says the monitor. These are around the lowest rates in recorded history.

    The most murderous regions today are Latin America and the Caribbean. But intriguingly, some of Latin America’s more developed cities are joining the rich world’s trend towards peacefulness. Rio de Janeiro’s homicide rate fell nearly two-thirds from 2002 to 2012. São Paulo’s dropped 80 per cent from 2000 to 2010.

    Nobody can quite explain this. “We still barely understand why homicide rates have declined consistently across the western world over the past 20 years,” admits Manuel Eisner, criminologist at Cambridge university. The rise of screens may have helped: nowadays many violence-prone young males spend their days on WhatsApp or PlayStation. But Eisner and other thinkers suggest another fascinating explanation: starting in the early 1990s, western countries entered an age of restraint. Our generation has chosen safety over freedom. This explanation sounds impossibly grand yet plausible.

    Many forms of disorder have declined in the west since the 1990s. The EU’s total crime rate has been “steadily decreasing since 2003”, reports the European Commission. Perhaps coincidentally, the EU experienced “a marked decrease in recorded adult per capita alcohol consumption” from 1990 through 2010, says the World Health Organisation. Reduced drinking has helped reduce western traffic deaths. And the US National Crime Victimization Survey, which asks Americans whether they have experienced crime, shows a 64 per cent fall in sexual violence against women from 1995 through 2010. (The violence and disorder in poorer countries is an entirely different story.)

    The decline in disorder is so broad and multinational that very specific ideas – such as “zero-tolerance” policing in New York – cannot explain it. Something bigger seems to have changed. To understand what, Eisner and others fall back on once forgotten German-Jewish theorist Norbert Elias.

    Elias’s great work, The Civilizing Process, argued that humans have been getting less violent since medieval times. States forced them to behave, and growing trade encouraged them to. Sadly, Elias’s timing was terrible. His book appeared in German in 1939, just as civilisation was collapsing. But today his argument sounds more credible. We now have evidence – which Elias didn’t – that western homicides have fallen fairly steadily for 700 years.

    One disciple of Elias, the Harvard psychologist Steven Pinker, argues that in the 1990s western countries embarked on one of their periodic “civilising processes”. Governments got “tough on crime”. Social norms changed, too. The 1960s ethos of “take a walk on the wild side” lost favour. However, pre-1960s authoritarianism didn’t return. Spanking children and capital punishment continued to lose support, notes Pinker. Societies shifted to pacific control, from Prozac to anger-management therapy.

    Men were encouraged to become nurturers. Newfangled “helicopter parents” controlled children’s behaviour. Eisner says they taught diligence and self-control. Young people stayed in education longer.

    The upshot is that we have created a new type of being: the well-behaved teen. American teenagers’ “use of illicit drugs has generally declined over the past two decades”, says the Monitoring the Future survey. Other western countries have seen similar shifts. Viv Albertine, a 1970s British punk musician, told this month’s Dalkey Book Festival in Ireland: “I know a lot of 16-year-olds. My daughter’s 16. They work so f***ing hard.”

    “Freedom” was the buzzword of Albertine’s generation. But today we live in unprecedented safety yet amid unprecedented protection. The US homicide rate is at its lowest since 1962 but the country spends over six times more on “protective services” per capita than it did then, says the Global Peace Index Report. “Safety” is a magic word: American campuses now often ban controversial speakers because students must feel “safe”; this would have baffled 1960s campus activists. Governments plead security to spy on citizens, and most citizens accept it.

    Only one western realm of disorder survives, says Pinker: entertainment. Violent video games, rap music and online porn are everywhere. But, argues Pinker, most consumers of this entertainment are ironic: they don’t confuse it with reality. In fact, real violent entertainment – as in ice hockey – increasingly generates outrage. Today’s security-obsessed media encourage permanent fear. The evidence suggests an age of restraint.

    Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2015
    Reproduced under licence

    © 2015 | About/Contact

    Reply

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